Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

This market will resolve to "YES" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela on and before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.